MILWAUKEE - With a week before the historic recall election, Governor Scott Walker is holding steady versus Tom Barrett in a new statewide poll.
According to the Marquette Law School poll released Wednesday, Walker leads Barrett 52 percent to 45 percent among likely voters. Marquette Law School polled 600 likely voters with a margin of error of 4%.
The margin in the new poll is a percentage point greater than the school's poll two weeks ago. It was closer a month ago. That is when a Marquette poll showed Walker leading 48% to 47%.
"Clearly this poll is out of step with everything else that is out there and frankly with the political reality," said Mike Tate, the chairman of the Democratic Party of Wisconsin.
Tate favors new numbers from the Greater Wisconsin Political Fund. The liberal-leaning fund released a poll indicating Walker and Barrett were tied at 49 percent.
Tate says Marquette's poll sample from the Milwaukee market is too large and surveyed predominately Republican areas. Tate says the poll also skews to older voters.
"The markets do not accurately reflect where people live in this state and therefore it is very hard to get an accurate reading of the electorate," said Tate.
Although Tate accuses the Marquette poll of leaning conservative, it also shows voters side with President Barack Obama 51% to 43% versus his Republican challenger Mitt Romney.
The Marquette Law School Poll is funded through the university's Dean's Discretionary Fund. A spokesperson for the poll describes the fund as a majority of alumni donations.
Despite his lead in the Marquette poll, Governor Walker is not declaring any sort of advantage.
"People have asked me a lot about polls," said Walker while touring a manufacturing company in Appleton. "The only poll that matters is the one taken next Tuesday on June 5th."
Like many political experts, Barrett says voter turnout will decide the race.
"What we are seeing in the polls is that people who did not vote in 2010 are more likely to support my candidacy," said Barrett.
State election officials predict turnout could hit 65% when voters head to the polls next Tuesday, June 5th.
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