There are 93 players in the field for the 2013 Masters but who will walk away the winner? Bobby Jones, ultimate Amateur founded Augusta National but Bobby Jones isn't walking through that door so scratch these amateur hopefuls off your list.
While we're talking about youth, the Masters among all tournaments is almost impossible to win in your first try. It hasn't been done since Fuzzy Zoeller won in 1979 So you can wave goodbye to these Masters first timers.
Ted Potter Jr.
Youth may not be served at Augusta but the Champions Tour set won't be taking home any hardware either. Whether it's balky nerves on the greens or a lack of length Augusta National is just not the place for the over 50 set. Jack Nicklaus is the oldest player to have ever won a green jacket, winning in 1986 at the age of 46. Nicklaus is the greatest player of all-time. So sorry if you're older than the Golden Bear was when he won the jacket you're not winning in 2013.
Jose Maria Olazabel
The Masters is also a tournament of front runners. The list of winners is a list of who's who. If you want your underdog stories then you'll need to wait until later in the season. Angel Cabrera is the lowest ranked player to win the Masters since the World Golf Rankings came into existence. Cabrera was ranked number 69 in 2009 when he donned the green jacket.
The Masters champion must drive the ball long, be able to scramble, and get the ball into the hole. If you're going to conquer Augusta National you need to be no worse than tour average in these categories. You'll notice some pretty substantial names on the list below including a few major champions and perennial contenders. These guys could win but face an uphill climb because of their length.
You have to be able to roll the ball at Augusta National as well. Given the highly varied courses and greens that elite golf professionals play, putts gained is the better way to find who's sub par with the flat stick rather than just using putting average. Tour players can get hot with the putter for the week but I'm taking these names off the board because of their putting stats from 2013.
Bo Van Pelt
No player will be perfect all week during a major so the winner will need to show the ability to recover when things have gone astray. For this we check out the scrambling category. It weeds out a few of the biggest names including a man who's won multiple green jackets and another who's already won multiple majors. McIlory and Mickelson both were fractionally below the tour average in scrambling and if you rounded up they'd have made the cut but then why go through the fun of finding the winner this way.
This leaves us with just 10 players remaining, my top 10 bets to win the Masters. I know what you might be saying, well that's a lot of work for a list of some what predictable names but whittling the top 50 players in the world down to 10 is no small task.
So to pick the final winner I've used final round scoring average. The Masters will be won in that final round and while the PGA's top final round scoring averages are dominated by the rank and file, the players above are far from that so we should get an accurate tell on who does the best with everything on the line.
That would mean, Bubba Watson becomes the first player to repeat as champion since none other than Tiger Woods in 2001 and 2002. Jason Day ranks second in this category, followed by Peter Hanson.